⚽SPAIN vs CABO VERDE · GRP H · 15 Jun · Spain Win 1.06 · Model: SPAIN 94%⚽FRANCE vs IRAQ · GRP I · 16 Jun · France Win 1.12 · Model: FRANCE 88%⚽ARGENTINA vs ALGERIA · GRP J · 14 Jun · Argentina Win 1.18 · Model: ARGENTINA 84%⚽ENGLAND vs PANAMA · GRP L · 17 Jun · England Win 1.14 · Model: ENGLAND 91%⚽BRAZIL vs MOROCCO · GRP C · 13 Jun · Brazil Win 1.32 · Model: BRAZIL 75%⚽SPAIN vs CABO VERDE · GRP H · 15 Jun · Spain Win 1.06 · Model: SPAIN 94%⚽FRANCE vs IRAQ · GRP I · 16 Jun · France Win 1.12 · Model: FRANCE 88%⚽ARGENTINA vs ALGERIA · GRP J · 14 Jun · Argentina Win 1.18 · Model: ARGENTINA 84%⚽ENGLAND vs PANAMA · GRP L · 17 Jun · England Win 1.14 · Model: ENGLAND 91%⚽BRAZIL vs MOROCCO · GRP C · 13 Jun · Brazil Win 1.32 · Model: BRAZIL 75%
AT&T Stadium · World Cup 2026 Semi-Final Venue · Arlington, Texas
Photo: Michael Barera / CC BY-SA 4.0
WC 2026 · Rankings— nations · Elo · 10,000 simulations
48 nationsRanked.
Elo ratings and tournament win probabilities for every World Cup 2026 nation, refined through 10,000 simulations. From the favourites to the dark horses, every team ranked by the model.